94403: The Market Shift to Start 2026
 

Median held at $1.75M with 22 day average market time.
 

Based on MLS Data between October 2025 and January 2026

What Happened In January

January brought a noticeable jump in fresh inventory. New listings climbed to 30, up from a prior 3 month average of about 19 per month. Even with more homes hitting the market, closings slowed to 8 versus the prior 3 month average of 12, and the median held near $1.75M. Buyers had more to choose from, but decisions still took time, with average days on market around 22.

What Did Not Change

Competition is still showing up when a home is priced and presented well. Even with fewer closings, the average sale to list stayed strong at about 108%, signaling buyers are still willing to stretch for the right home. When something checks the boxes, it can still move quickly and aggressively.

Year Over Year Lens

Compared with January 2025, pricing cooled modestly, but leverage stayed with sellers on well positioned listings. Median moved from roughly $1.85M to $1.75M, while average days on market improved from about 36 to 22 and sale to list remained above 105%. Versus January 2024, the market is meaningfully higher on price and more competitive overall.

TWO PATHS, ONE SIMPLE PLAN

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IF YOU ARE SELLING IN 2026

Buyers are paying attention and they are selective. Homes that are clean, well presented, and priced with intention are still the ones that create urgency, even in slower periods.

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IF YOU ARE BUYING IN 2026

Early year can be a strong window. When pace is slower, you can sometimes find better terms, especially on homes that have been sitting longer, before the spring competition ramps up.

REVIEWS

Golsa Afsharpour

Vince is an exceptional realtor—professional, knowledgeable, and truly dedicated to his clients. He went above and beyond to make the process smooth, stress-free, and even enjoyable. Thanks to his expertise and guidance, he found us our dream home. His attention to detail, responsiveness, and honest advice made all the difference. We highly recommend working with Vince if you’re looking for someone you can trust to get the job done right.

Chris Loux

We had an excellent experience working with Vince as our realtor. Here are some of the main areas where he impressed: --Work ethic off the charts: Vince goes the extra mile in all respects, and for anyone who has had experience working with bay area agents who are not so dedicated, it was very refreshing to work with someone who is so dedicated. --Analytical, data-driven approach: There is a lot of data available for recent comparable sales and current properties on the market. A lot of agents are either not aware or not confident with the data. Vince has a finance background so works well with the data. He kept a spreadsheet for us to track all like assets (sold, on-market, or off-market) and this allowed us to have a very clear sense of what was going on with the market. It made our offers better as well as giving us confidence that we had a good handle on fair pricing. --Professionalism: Vince is a rock solid professional that takes his work, the market, and understanding the client's needs very seriously. It is great to work with someone who takes pride in an extremely high level of quality in their work.

Catherine Waldeck

Vincent is an absolute professional. He is not only a pleasure to work with, but his keen eye for the details of a home that impact the sale sets him apart from the many other realtors in the area. He pays attention to every detail and has impeccable taste and knowledge of how to increase the value of your property that are sure to get it sold for the maximum price possible. He is also an excellent communicator which is very important in the real estate process. He will manage the entire process form start to finish with confidence and ease. I couldn't recommend him as a real estate agent enough.

FAQs

Why can the market feel competitive even when sales slow down?

Sales can slow for seasonal reasons, fewer closings scheduled that month, or buyers taking longer to decide. But if inventory is still limited or the best homes are scarce, the homes that are priced right and show well can still attract multiple offers. Slow sales volume does not always mean weak demand.

Does a higher sale to list ratio always mean bidding wars?

What does months supply mean?

What does “median sales price” mean, and why not use average?

What is “days on market” and how should I interpret it?

How do I get a local snapshot for my specific street or micro neighborhood?